Category Archives: business

Thoughts On Trade – Part 2

Please be sure to read Part 1 before continuing.

To trade or not to trade; globally that is. [cont.]

This is not an argument against globalization, but an attempt to open eyes and say “Hey, are you cool with this being the future.” Even though the future is largely uncertain you can estimate conceivable outcomes based on current actions and states of nature. This is what the point is here. So onward we go.

Firm A can’t pay $1 a day here but can move 6000 miles and whoa $1 a day is in fact possible. All the additional costs associated with moving production to another country far far away are recouped with the $1 per day labor. An executive may say “this is cool because now these same products sold domestically will be a degree cheaper and our bottom line will be a degree fatter.”

A question here arises: why would a domestic government be so cool with this situation when in fact that same government has policies in place against another country far far away from producing far far away and dumping domestically? In fact the country far far away winds up moving production into the domestic country, production ‘which doesn’t count for quotas’, so they can sell their products freely without government grief [a great example are Japanese car manufacturers who moved production into the United States in the 1980’s due to the Reagan administrations imposing of Japanese automobile import quotas, or more commonly called “voluntary restraint agreements”]. In that same breath that same government however, will allow one of their domestic firms to move production far far away and then dump this production domestically.

Domestic government A says if you do business here you must abide by these labor laws, these environmental laws and these tax laws. Or you can move your production to another country where you don’t need to meet any of our laws or restrictions and then you can just export your production back home. Destroy jobs and tax revenue, it’s okay, because if you aren’t braking the law on our soil we don’t give a flying f, just please go across the boarder and ship all your ‘domestic law breaking’ product back home, cause we as consumers will love to buy it and wont feel guilty that we are hurting our domestic country, or your country; because hey it’s being produced in a country far far away, oh and did I mention it’s so cheap?

Yes, that’s quite a critical assessment of free trade. However, it is probably also an inaccurate assessment and in contradiction, ideal globalization interwoven with free trade does and can yield magnificent results. A compilation of nations, which allow the free flow of capital goods and ideas, should and does improve life throughout the world, while modest in some places and grand in others. The current situation is not crystal clear and won’t be for years to come. An important question to ask is: are there really good jobs, aside from low wage service jobs, available for domestic workers that loose a well paying job due to globalization? Are we really lifting people out of poverty in developing trading nations, when they make $1 per day and of which many work in conditions that would be deemed illegal domestically? I hope the answers to both of these questions are yes. In terms of both, time will be the judge, and when we have a definitive answer it will most likely be too late to do anything about it.


Thoughts On Trade – Part 1

It should be dully noted here, I am not a qualified practitioner of economics. My thoughts below represent my outward thinking on the situation of Trade, thoughts that have been nurtured by countless books and articles. This is the first part to a multipart essay. It would be most beneficial if you would share your own thoughts, ideas, and or criticisms on the subject.

To trade or not to trade; globally that is.

Defiantly a large topic of discussion today, maybe even a large topic of discussion over past centuries. However, do we really have a definitive answer? Maybe the correct answers lies in the terms of exactly what one perceives as the desirable outcome. There is no doubting the benefits of international trade. Or better yet, free trade in and of itself has many data points which show us increases in standards of living and the enrichment of countries; some may argue it’s for the betterment of their citizenry others the exploitation. But how does one truly gage the advantage of trade between industrialized nations and nations developing. Between nations with strict labor and environmental laws versus ones with of no such kind of laws? I can definitely count the extra dollars in my pocket by buying products at reduced prices; reduced prices attributed to their production being in a country with more competitive labor in that specific product. This is just a single variable [labor] in the free-trade’s comparative advantage model which states, in short: free trade allows countries to pool their resources into the industries in which they are most competitive, thus in effect creating a sort of optimum efficiency between trading nations. Comparative advantages lay in the specific levels of productivity one possesses when producing certain goods and services. Productivity being the amount of output you receive per unit of input.

However the main concern with productivity is this: Offshoring and outsourcing, several firms [multinationals] state, is necessary because domestic labor is not productive enough. And by ‘not productive enough’ they mean they can’t pay $1 a day to domestic laborers to labor away.

Keep America Open To Trade

Another wonderful opinion piece in today’s Wall Street Journal, copied in full below. I’m currently writing a couple of articles on trade and I thought this piece was well suited to start the conversation.

Keep America Open to Trade
May 12, 2008; Page A15

As immigrants, we’re proud of America and the strength it derives from being uniquely open to trade, to investment, and to ideas and people. Recently, prominent voices in punditry and politics have questioned the benefits of America’s openness and called for an isolationist U-turn that would choke off our innovation and prosperity.

In every state of the union, such a retreat would be disastrous for jobs, economic growth and consumer choice. Nowhere is this more clear than here in Torrance, Calif., where today we are visiting a Hitachi plant that remanufactures auto parts. This “foreign” company employs 16,000 Americans — 8,000 in California alone — and is just one of hundreds of overseas firms that invest directly in the U.S. From where we’re standing, what America needs is more openness here and abroad — not less.

“But what about American manufacturing?” one might ask. “What about American exports?” Even at a time when our economy has slowed, U.S. exports are booming. In 2007, we saw a record $1.6 trillion in exports, up 12.6% from the prior year. And exports are growing even faster in 2008. In the first quarter of this year, export growth is up nearly 18% from the same period last year. Nearly a third of all U.S. agricultural products and more than 20% of the goods we manufacture were exported last year. Indeed, exports have been a kind of silent stimulus over the past year, helping even a slowing economy stay in the black.

Here in California, exports are crucial to the economy. Since 2003, California’s gross domestic product arising from exports has grown by more than 25%. With one in seven jobs related to trade, California leads the nation in trade-related jobs. Over 50,000 California companies export their goods, and more than 40% of U.S. goods are shipped through California’s ports.

Opening markets and lowering barriers for U.S. exports creates jobs, spurs innovation, and gives our economy a competitive edge. Consumers also see the benefits — they get a greater variety of higher-quality goods at lower prices. Free-trade agreements (FTAs) — including those now pending before Congress with Colombia, Panama and South Korea — solidify our relationships with key allies and level the trade playing field by lowering export barriers to American businesses, workers and farmers. Congress should approve these FTAs this year.

Most Americans aren’t aware that the South Korea agreement is the most economically significant FTA outside of North America in U.S. history. Korea is California’s fifth-largest export market. The Los Angeles metropolitan area alone exported $2.6 billion in chemicals, computers, machinery and other products to South Korea in 2006.

Unfortunately, Congress has scuttled a vote on the first of the three FTAs, the Colombia agreement. Who gets hurt by this? American workers. Why? Because open trade provides more markets for the products they make, and because Congress has already given Colombian exporters duty-free access to the American market for more than 16 years. In the 538 days since the agreement was finalized, American exports have faced more than $1 billion in Colombian tariffs. All the FTA with Colombia does is provide American goods the same access Congress already gives Colombia.

Yet in the global trading system, America isn’t just a buyer and seller, we’re a huge investment magnet. That giant cash register sound you’re hearing is the nearly $200 billion pumped into U.S. businesses from abroad in 2006 alone. Foreign-owned companies operating in the U.S. employ more than five million Americans, and a third of foreign direct investment is in the manufacturing sector. For the 8,000 Hitachi employees here in California, some of whom we will visit today, and the other 8,000 spread across the U.S., foreign investment is a no-brainer.

California, like every state, wants to attract foreign direct investment that supports American jobs. Last week was “Invest in America” week, a federal effort to promote U.S. markets, our extraordinary workforce, and our innovation and business climate for foreign investors.

Yet for all the openness to trade and investment, it is America’s openness to people that is the indispensable factor in our growth. Each of us knows that well. While we need secure borders, we also need to develop a sensible, comprehensive immigration policy that is humane, practical and consistent with the spirit of openness that is our nation’s strength.

America is a launching pad for courageous creativity, with bold entrepreneurs churning out innovation after invention after idea. We’re one of the wealthiest nations on earth because our society fosters companies like Intel — co-founded by Andy Grove, an immigrant — whose business model is driven by access to global markets.

It’s true, we’re currently facing economic headwinds. While the bipartisan, $152-billion economic stimulus package will help, families are feeling pinched between energy costs, the housing crisis and rising food prices. These are complex issues without easy fixes. But there’s an apt saying that will be on our minds as we talk to workers in Torrance today: “Fix the right problem.” Because we’re immigrants, we have seen firsthand what works here, and what does not work overseas. To us, it is clear that stifling foreign investment, taking a trade “time-out” that hurts U.S. exports, or turning away from the ideas and energy of immigrants, won’t help America grow and prosper.

Mr. Gutierrez is U.S. secretary of commerce. Mr. Schwarzenegger is governor of California.


Humorous Pictures

So far, out of all the panels at SXSWi 2008, LOLWUT? has been the best. A panel with the creator (Eric Nakagawa) and CEO (Ben Huh ) of

Enteratining. Informative. Inspiring. These 2 guys rocked.

Take away quote: “The good solutions are the simple solutions.”

Cheapest Car Ever

In this episode of 60 Seconds I talk about the Tata Nano; a truly awesome piece of motor madness. The specified cost of $2500 is what really blows me away. That’s the price of a 15-inch MacBook Pro, does anyone else see anything wrong with this?

Disruptive Google

Creeping Google will slowly disrupt gold standard Microsoft, in the office application department. Reading the Innovator’s Dilemma will really help drive this home.

I want one?

The Amazon Kindle, an awesome device from an awesome company. The Kindle (video here), will truly efficientize reading; something I am all about. My only questions and concerns are:

  • Getting books your already own, onto the Kindle
  • The death of sharing books
  • International wireless access? to the Kindle bookstore, newspapers, and blogs.
  • Getting the notes and clippings from your Kindle onto your computer
  • Using the Kindle search function on your computer

In case you are wondering, I am have not placed my order, yet. I still need to scrounge up 400 bones and I want to wait a bit for the general reaction of people who actually own a Kindle, not just from those making making assumptions.

Although, Guy Kawasaki does have a great review:

“…if someone gave me a choice of receiving an iPhone or a Kindle, I’d pick the Kindle.”

Hey Scoble, how I can get $40 per Kindle referral? ;p

Update: Engadget has a pretty good hands on review; also many pictures. And they partially answer one of my concerns:

“You can bind five or six devices to a single account, and share books you’ve purchased to those accounts. There’s no simultaneous reading lock, so if you and your significant other are on the same Amazon account you can both read the same book at the same time on your Kindles.”

Simultaneous reading = badass.